daily prop · Birmingham, AL · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Birmingham high ≥ 80°F · Tue Oct 20

22¢

american +355 · decimal 4.55

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		59¢
nbm		41¢
eps		34¢
aifs		26¢
wn2		18¢
hres		13¢
rrfs		6¢
icon		4¢
hrrr		1¢
now		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

74–75°F3¢

76–77°F30¢

78–79°F51¢

80–81°F15¢

82–83°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBHM-20261020-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-20T04:04:28+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape