daily prop · Birmingham, AL · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 26

Birmingham runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Mon Oct 26

13¢

american +647 · decimal 7.47

on the tape

82°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		26¢
nbm		23¢
aifs		22¢
ndfd		22¢
wn2		20¢
hres		17¢
eps		4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F4¢

72–73°F9¢

74–75°F16¢

76–77°F21¢

78–79°F20¢

80–81°F15¢

82–83°F8¢

84–85°F4¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 14,266 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.855 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBHM-20261026-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-19T11:20:50+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape