daily prop · Billings, MT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Fri Oct 2

Billings high ≥ 80°F · Fri Oct 2

YES

settled · observed 80

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		72¢
hres		64¢
wn2		59¢
ndfd		59¢
aifs		58¢
now		56¢
hrrr		54¢
nbm		43¢
icon		34¢
eps		32¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBIL-20261002-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-01T15:18:28+00:00 · settled 2026-10-03T13:21:36+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape