daily prop · Billings, MT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Sat Oct 17

Billings runs hot-for-here: 75°F+ · Sat Oct 17

YES

settled · observed 75

longshot hit on the tape

75°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		73¢
hres		70¢
ndfd		59¢
wn2		43¢
eps		40¢
aifs		30¢
nbm		25¢
icon		15¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBIL-20261017-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-10T22:28:01+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:04:55+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape