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daily prop · Billings, MT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 20

Billings high ≥ 68°F · Tue Oct 20

34¢
american +190 · decimal 2.9
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1710/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
59¢
hres
57¢
wn2
47¢
eps
44¢
rrfs
35¢
nbm
33¢
aifs
23¢
hrrr
21¢
icon
7¢
now
1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F3¢
64–65°F25¢
66–67°F47¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F3¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBIL-20261020-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-16T15:05:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape