WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Mon Sep 14

Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week

17¢
american +478 · decimal 5.78
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0709/0709/08 06:38
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Tue Sep 8
0¢
Wed Sep 9
2¢
Thu Sep 10
5¢
Fri Sep 11
0¢
Sat Sep 12
2¢
Sun Sep 13
5¢
Mon Sep 14
4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260914-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-07T14:03:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape