daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Tue Sep 15

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 92°F+ · Tue Sep 15

98¢

american -3949 · decimal 1.03

★ golden on the tape

92°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 92°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		98¢
eps		98¢
aifs		98¢
rrfs		96¢
nbm		95¢
icon		95¢
hres		94¢
wn2		74¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

90–91°F1¢

92–93°F5¢

94–95°F17¢

96–97°F30¢

98–99°F28¢

100–101°F14¢

102–103°F4¢

104–105°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,639 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.565 vs climatology 9.303.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260915-TMAX-GE92 · opened 2026-09-08T11:09:16+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape