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week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Tue Sep 15

Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week

21¢
american +387 · decimal 4.87
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0809/0809/09 06:52
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Wed Sep 9
1¢
Thu Sep 10
4¢
Fri Sep 11
1¢
Sat Sep 12
1¢
Sun Sep 13
2¢
Mon Sep 14
6¢
Tue Sep 15
7¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260915-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-08T07:23:50+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape