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week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Sep 18

Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week

33¢
american +200 · decimal 3.0
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1109/1109/12 07:03
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Sat Sep 12
0¢
Sun Sep 13
0¢
Mon Sep 14
1¢
Tue Sep 15
13¢
Wed Sep 16
6¢
Thu Sep 17
10¢
Fri Sep 18
9¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260918-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-11T07:44:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape