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week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Sat Sep 19

Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week

44¢
american +126 · decimal 2.26
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1209/1209/13 07:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Sun Sep 13
0¢
Mon Sep 14
0¢
Tue Sep 15
12¢
Wed Sep 16
7¢
Thu Sep 17
6¢
Fri Sep 18
13¢
Sat Sep 19
16¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260919-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-12T07:48:29+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape