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week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Mon Sep 21

Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week

81¢
american -416 · decimal 1.24
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1409/1409/15 07:16
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Tue Sep 15
34¢
Wed Sep 16
17¢
Thu Sep 17
18¢
Fri Sep 18
27¢
Sat Sep 19
22¢
Sun Sep 20
18¢
Mon Sep 21
7¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260921-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-14T07:56:52+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape