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week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Thu Sep 24

Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week

63¢
american -169 · decimal 1.59
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1709/1709/18 06:48
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Fri Sep 18
22¢
Sat Sep 19
23¢
Sun Sep 20
25¢
Mon Sep 21
17¢
Tue Sep 22
1¢
Wed Sep 23
0¢
Thu Sep 24
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260924-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-17T10:28:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape