daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Sep 25

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 89°F+ · Fri Sep 25

2¢

american +5487 · decimal 55.87

on the tape

89°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		19¢
ndfd		10¢
hres		6¢
aifs		5¢
rrfs		5¢
nbm		4¢
wn2		1¢
icon		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

74–75°F2¢

76–77°F8¢

78–79°F19¢

80–81°F28¢

82–83°F25¢

84–85°F13¢

86–87°F4¢

88–89°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,109 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.736 vs climatology 9.177.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260925-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-09-18T07:33:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape