— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
12¢
eps
11¢
icon
6¢
ndfd
5¢
aifs
3¢
nbm
2¢
wn2
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F8¢
78–79°F22¢
80–81°F32¢
82–83°F25¢
84–85°F10¢
86–87°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,208 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.558 vs climatology 9.163.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20260925-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-09-18T07:33:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape