daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Sat Sep 26

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 89°F+ · Sat Sep 26

3¢

american +3717 · decimal 38.17

on the tape

89°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		17¢
ndfd		12¢
eps		11¢
icon		6¢
nbm		3¢
aifs		2¢
wn2		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

72–73°F2¢

74–75°F8¢

76–77°F18¢

78–79°F27¢

80–81°F25¢

82–83°F14¢

84–85°F5¢

86–87°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,159 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.739 vs climatology 9.163.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260926-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-09-19T07:39:53+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape