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week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Sat Sep 26

Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week

31¢
american +224 · decimal 3.24
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/1909/1909/20 07:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Sun Sep 20
19¢
Mon Sep 21
14¢
Tue Sep 22
0¢
Wed Sep 23
0¢
Thu Sep 24
0¢
Fri Sep 25
0¢
Sat Sep 26
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260926-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-19T07:39:54+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape