WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Wed Sep 30

Nashville touches 90°F sometime this week

57¢
american -135 · decimal 1.74
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/2309/2309/24 06:42
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Thu Sep 24
0¢
Fri Sep 25
0¢
Sat Sep 26
0¢
Sun Sep 27
0¢
Mon Sep 28
4¢
Tue Sep 29
29¢
Wed Sep 30
37¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20260930-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-23T08:05:39+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape