daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 2

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 87°F+ · Fri Oct 2

80¢

american -399 · decimal 1.25

on the tape

87°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 87°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		98¢
rrfs		89¢
ndfd		87¢
nbm		72¢
hres		66¢
aifs		54¢
wn2		51¢
icon		48¢
now		47¢
hrrr		3¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

82–83°F2¢

84–85°F7¢

86–87°F17¢

88–89°F27¢

90–91°F26¢

92–93°F15¢

94–95°F5¢

96–97°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,474 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.735 vs climatology 9.066.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261002-TMAX-GE87 · opened 2026-09-25T19:39:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape