— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
43¢
wn2
13¢
nbm
9¢
icon
2¢
ndfd
2¢
aifs
0¢
hres
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F2¢
72–73°F5¢
74–75°F11¢
76–77°F19¢
78–79°F22¢
80–81°F20¢
82–83°F13¢
84–85°F6¢
86–87°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,425 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.945 vs climatology 9.066.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261003-TMAX-GE87 · opened 2026-09-27T03:19:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape