week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Sat Oct 3
Nashville touches 100°F sometime this week
2¢
american +4229 · decimal 43.29
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Sun Sep 27
0¢
Mon Sep 28
0¢
Tue Sep 29
0¢
Wed Sep 30
0¢
Thu Oct 1
1¢
Fri Oct 2
1¢
Sat Oct 3
0¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261003-WK-ANY100 · opened 2026-09-26T07:42:59+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape