— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
89¢
aifs
86¢
wn2
72¢
nbm
63¢
ndfd
54¢
hres
26¢
icon
25¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F6¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F30¢
74–75°F27¢
76–77°F13¢
78–79°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,043 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.52 vs climatology 8.932.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261011-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-06T15:29:20+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape