week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 11
Nashville touches 90°F sometime this week
50¢
american +101 · decimal 2.01
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Mon Oct 5
0¢
Tue Oct 6
0¢
Wed Oct 7
5¢
Thu Oct 8
9¢
Fri Oct 9
20¢
Sat Oct 10
24¢
Sun Oct 11
6¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261011-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-04T07:29:39+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape