— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
73¢
hres
61¢
wn2
56¢
nbm
53¢
eps
46¢
aifs
25¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F4¢
82–83°F10¢
84–85°F16¢
86–87°F20¢
88–89°F20¢
90–91°F15¢
92–93°F8¢
94–95°F4¢
96–97°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 13,741 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.466 vs climatology 8.965.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261013-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-06T20:01:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape