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week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 15

Nashville touches 90°F sometime this week

78¢
american -354 · decimal 1.28
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0810/0810/09 07:05
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Fri Oct 9
20¢
Sat Oct 10
0¢
Sun Oct 11
0¢
Mon Oct 12
16¢
Tue Oct 13
42¢
Wed Oct 14
30¢
Thu Oct 15
18¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261015-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-08T07:38:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape