week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Sat Oct 17
Nashville touches 90°F sometime this week
86¢
american -607 · decimal 1.16
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Sun Oct 11
0¢
Mon Oct 12
16¢
Tue Oct 13
41¢
Wed Oct 14
51¢
Thu Oct 15
41¢
Fri Oct 16
2¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261017-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-10T22:27:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape