— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
57¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
44¢
eps
44¢
wn2
40¢
hres
36¢
aifs
22¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F4¢
64–65°F13¢
66–67°F26¢
68–69°F29¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F7¢
74–75°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,254 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.694 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBNA-20261018-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-13T04:15:45+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape