WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Wed Oct 21

Nashville touches 90°F sometime this week

73¢
american -269 · decimal 1.37
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/1410/1410/15 07:03
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Thu Oct 15
73¢
Fri Oct 16
0¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
0¢
Mon Oct 19
0¢
Tue Oct 20
0¢
Wed Oct 21
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261021-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape