daily prop · Nashville, TN · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 23

Nashville runs hot-for-here: 81°F+ · Fri Oct 23

8¢

american +1155 · decimal 12.55

on the tape

81°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 81°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		28¢
wn2		28¢
ndfd		18¢
hres		16¢
icon		14¢
eps		10¢
nbm		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F2¢

72–73°F9¢

74–75°F21¢

76–77°F29¢

78–79°F23¢

80–81°F11¢

82–83°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBNA-20261023-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-16T13:28:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape