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daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Wed Sep 23

Boise high ≥ 86°F · Wed Sep 23

YES
settled · observed 87
longshot hit whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0809/2009/23 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
71¢
ndfd
59¢
wn2
29¢
hres
26¢
nbm
25¢
rrfs
21¢
eps
20¢
icon
16¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260923-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-09-19T03:09:07+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:09+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape