daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Thu Sep 24

Boise runs hot-for-here: 87°F+ · Thu Sep 24

YES

settled · observed 93

longshot hit golden 3d out whiplash on the tape

87°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 87°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop went golden 3.0 days before settlement; traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		100¢
ndfd		98¢
aifs		98¢
rrfs		91¢
wn2		90¢
hres		85¢
icon		65¢
eps		59¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260924-TMAX-GE87 · opened 2026-09-17T10:28:53+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:13+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape