daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Thu Sep 24

A 90° day in Boise · Thu Sep 24

YES

settled · observed 93

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		90¢
nbm		84¢
ndfd		75¢
wn2		65¢
rrfs		62¢
hres		60¢
icon		31¢
eps		30¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260924-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-09-17T10:28:53+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:15+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape