daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Thu Sep 24

Boise high ≥ 91°F · Thu Sep 24

YES

settled · observed 93

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 91°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		84¢
nbm		63¢
ndfd		59¢
wn2		54¢
hres		49¢
rrfs		49¢
eps		22¢
icon		22¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260924-TMAX-GE91 · opened 2026-09-21T15:25:39+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:15+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape