daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Mon Sep 28

Boise high ≥ 75°F · Mon Sep 28

settled · observed 74

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 88¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		74¢
nbm		61¢
ndfd		59¢
wn2		51¢
eps		42¢
hres		32¢
rrfs		31¢
icon		5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260928-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-26T02:26:31+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:34+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape