daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Sep 29

Boise high ≥ 75°F · Tue Sep 29

YES

settled · observed 75

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 1¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		86¢
hrrr		75¢
nbm		59¢
wn2		57¢
ndfd		56¢
hres		50¢
eps		41¢
rrfs		30¢
icon		19¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260929-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-26T02:26:31+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:39+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape