Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Wed Sep 23
2¢
Thu Sep 24
76¢
Fri Sep 25
5¢
Sat Sep 26
0¢
Sun Sep 27
0¢
Mon Sep 28
0¢
Tue Sep 29
1¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20260929-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-22T07:59:29+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:41+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape