daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Wed Sep 30

Boise runs hot-for-here: 85°F+ · Wed Sep 30

settled · observed 78

whiplash on the tape

85°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		24¢
ndfd		12¢
wn2		6¢
hres		5¢
eps		2¢
nbm		1¢
icon		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20260930-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-09-23T08:05:59+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:45+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape