WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Fri Oct 2

Boise touches 90°F sometime this week

NO
settled · observed 81
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/2509/2609/26 06:57
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Sat Sep 26
0¢
Sun Sep 27
0¢
Mon Sep 28
0¢
Tue Sep 29
0¢
Wed Sep 30
0¢
Thu Oct 1
4¢
Fri Oct 2
1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261002-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-09-25T19:40:00+00:00 · settled 2026-10-07T13:27:54+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape