week prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Mon Oct 12
Boise touches 90°F sometime this week
NO
settled · observed 85
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Tue Oct 6
1¢
Wed Oct 7
4¢
Thu Oct 8
5¢
Fri Oct 9
17¢
Sat Oct 10
0¢
Sun Oct 11
0¢
Mon Oct 12
0¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261012-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-05T07:42:52+00:00 · settled 2026-10-14T13:37:05+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape