WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 13

Boise touches 90°F sometime this week

NO
settled · observed 85
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0610/0710/07 06:37
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Wed Oct 7
3¢
Thu Oct 8
4¢
Fri Oct 9
13¢
Sat Oct 10
0¢
Sun Oct 11
0¢
Mon Oct 12
0¢
Tue Oct 13
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261013-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-06T20:02:09+00:00 · settled 2026-10-15T13:56:06+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape