— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
96¢
nbm
75¢
wn2
72¢
eps
72¢
icon
62¢
hres
55¢
ndfd
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
48–49°F1¢
50–51°F2¢
52–53°F3¢
54–55°F6¢
56–57°F9¢
58–59°F12¢
60–61°F14¢
62–63°F15¢
64–65°F13¢
66–67°F10¢
68–69°F7¢
70–71°F4¢
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 7,763 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.514 vs climatology 8.874.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261014-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-07T07:23:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape