WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Wed Oct 14

Boise touches 90°F sometime this week

5¢
american +1924 · decimal 20.24
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0710/0710/08 06:53
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Thu Oct 8
2¢
Fri Oct 9
3¢
Sat Oct 10
0¢
Sun Oct 11
0¢
Mon Oct 12
0¢
Tue Oct 13
0¢
Wed Oct 14
0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261014-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-07T07:23:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape