— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
72¢
nbm
53¢
aifs
46¢
eps
45¢
wn2
18¢
icon
6¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F8¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F32¢
76–77°F25¢
78–79°F10¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261016-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-09T07:51:47+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape