— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
99¢
hres
86¢
icon
74¢
eps
53¢
nbm
53¢
wn2
20¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F6¢
72–73°F20¢
74–75°F33¢
76–77°F27¢
78–79°F11¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261016-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-09T11:37:54+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape