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daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Mon Oct 19

Boise high ≥ 78°F · Mon Oct 19

48¢
american +107 · decimal 2.07
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1410/19 03:45
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hrrr
85¢
aifs
75¢
wn2
58¢
hres
56¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
42¢
nbm
41¢
rrfs
39¢
icon
21¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F8¢
76–77°F34¢
78–79°F41¢
80–81°F14¢
82–83°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261019-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-18T14:56:01+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape