daily prop · Boise, ID · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 20

Boise runs hot-for-here: 74°F+ · Tue Oct 20

62¢

american -164 · decimal 1.61

on the tape

74°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 74°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		84¢
rrfs		82¢
hres		80¢
eps		79¢
wn2		69¢
nbm		44¢
icon		38¢
ndfd		23¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F0¢

72–73°F9¢

74–75°F38¢

76–77°F41¢

78–79°F11¢

80–81°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOI-20261020-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-10-14T01:29:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape