— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
94¢
hres
89¢
icon
85¢
wn2
80¢
nbm
71¢
eps
67¢
ndfd
55¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F2¢
72–73°F9¢
74–75°F24¢
76–77°F32¢
78–79°F22¢
80–81°F8¢
82–83°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,561 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.512 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261021-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape