— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
98¢
icon
78¢
hres
72¢
eps
67¢
wn2
57¢
nbm
52¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F2¢
66–67°F8¢
68–69°F18¢
70–71°F26¢
72–73°F24¢
74–75°F14¢
76–77°F6¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOI-20261022-TMAX-GE63 · opened 2026-10-15T10:53:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape