— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
100¢
aifs
96¢
icon
90¢
rrfs
90¢
nbm
87¢
eps
68¢
hres
58¢
ndfd
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
48–49°F2¢
50–51°F6¢
52–53°F13¢
54–55°F22¢
56–57°F24¢
58–59°F19¢
60–61°F10¢
62–63°F4¢
64–65°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,205 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOS-20261018-TMAX-GE51 · opened 2026-10-13T15:41:08+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape