— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
99¢
aifs
89¢
icon
83¢
hres
68¢
eps
56¢
nbm
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
54–55°F2¢
56–57°F10¢
58–59°F24¢
60–61°F31¢
62–63°F22¢
64–65°F8¢
66–67°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KBOS-20261020-TMAX-GE63 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape