daily prop · Boston, MA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Boston runs hot-for-here: 72°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +6394 · decimal 64.94

on the tape

72°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 72°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		6¢
icon		5¢
eps		4¢
ndfd		3¢
aifs		3¢
hres		2¢
nbm		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

54–55°F2¢

56–57°F10¢

58–59°F24¢

60–61°F31¢

62–63°F22¢

64–65°F8¢

66–67°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KBOS-20261020-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape